Minority Voters Aren’t a Monolith
Bubba
14 Oct
Minority voters in the U.S. and beyond are moving away from the left. (Financial Times)
Chart: Financial Times
A new analysis from Financial Times data guru John Burn-Murdoch:
In the US, the majority-Hispanic Rio Grande valley swung sharply towards Donald Trump in 2020, Vietnamese Americans in California deserted the Democrats, and majority-Black neighbourhoods in Philadelphia became decidedly less blue. Republicans performed better with non-white voters four years ago than at any time since 1960.
Zoom in: As Burn-Murdoch noted, “the sharp leftward turn among educated white liberals has caused white Democrats to overshoot the minority position on a growing number of issues, including immigration, racism, patriotism and meritocracy.”
For instance, while just 15% of white progressives agree with the statement, “government should increase border security and enforcement,” nearly half of Hispanics think the government should get tougher on immigration.
While 75% of white progressives think “racism is built into our society,” only 62% of black Americans and 38% of Hispanics agree.
31% of white progressives say America’s the greatest country in the world, compared to 58% of blacks and 75% of Hispanics.
Chart: Financial Times
Related: A recent NBC News poll found that men under 50 were the most likely subgroup of black voters to support Donald Trump.
Chart: NBC News
Bubba’s Two Cents
As Burn-Murdoch points out, ethnic minorities aren’t a monolith. The data shows that white progressives' assumptions about minority’s views don’t match what these minorities actually believe. Meanwhile, Trump’s gains with young black and Latino men suggests factors like gender and education may come to play a bigger role in persuading voters than race.