Election Day: Immediate Reactions

Author

Bubba
06 Nov

Here are my two cents on Donald Trump winning the presidency.

There’s a strong case that his victory is a rebuke of Democratic mismanagement (or at least the perception of mismanagement) on a host of meat and potatoes issues. Inflation. Record-high levels of immigration. International chaos. A sense that lawlessness and disorder have increased (even if the data shows crime’s gone down). It didn’t help that in the build-up to all this stuff, Democrats and progressives were perceived to be overly focused on unpopular, fringe issues like DEI and defunding the police. Kamala Harris tried to distance herself from … herself from five years ago, but seems like the American people didn’t buy it.

What are the trends and lessons learned (again, assuming this result holds) from the 2024 election?

The gender gap may have been overhyped: For instance, in Georgia, white men and white women voted Trump at pretty similar rates (74% and 69%, respectively).

The racial realignment is real: As political commentator Giancarlo Sopo noted, exit polls showed Trump was “on track for the highest Hispanic support ever for a GOP presidential candidate.”

It’s the economy: The economy is the top issue for most voters (Pew). 45% of voters said they feel financially worse off than four years ago, the highest level of economic dissatisfaction recorded in presidential exit polls. As demonstrated in the Tweet below, CNN noted that inflation has outpaced wage growth in most areas of the country.

The marital divide: As American Enterprise Institute fellow Brad Wilcox observed, the marriage gap in the 2024 election was just as big as the gender split among Harris voters (11 points).

  • Married voters: 55% support Trump, while 44% support Harris.

  • Unmarried voters: 55% back Harris, with Trump at 41%.

  • Female voters: 54% for Harris and 44% for Trump.

  • Male voters: 54% Trump and 43% Harris.

Candidate quality: Many would say Kamala’s campaign performance matched the low expectations people had of her political abilities before she unexpectedly rose to become the Democratic nominee.

The Puerto Ricans were not offended: Democrats’ predictions that comedian Tony Hinchcliffe’s controversial dig at Puerto Rico during a Trump rally last week would end up hurting the former president with Boricuas appears to have been pretty off base.

Did you like an item in today’s edition?

  1. Forward it to a friend

  2. Screenshot an item and text it to them

  3. Direct your friend to https://www.bubba.news/