The Case for Centrism
Recent polls suggest America leans towards the middle.
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Why Centrism Still Might Be a Smart Political Strategy
Trump was swept into office amid an undeniable backlash against Democratic and progressive governance, but recent polls suggest the U.S. as a whole leans toward the political middle.
Exhibit A: 60% of Republicans want GOP lawmakers to push back on Trump when they disagree, according to a new CBS News survey.
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Exhibit B: A new Gallup poll has found the share of Democrats who want their party to move toward the center has risen by 11 percentage points since 2021.
Over the same period of time, the percentage of Republicans who think the GOP should be more moderate has increased by just 3%.
However, the share of GOP voters who think the party needs to become more conservative has dropped 12%.
Exhibit C: Nearly 6 in 10 Americans think the U.S. needs a third major political party, and the share of Americans who have unfavorable views of both the GOP and Democratic Party has spiked in recent years.
Trump so far: In general, Americans seem pretty okay with the Trump admin’s actions, thus far.
70% of Americans believe the president is doing exactly what he campaigned on, per a new CBS News/YouGov poll.
Meanwhile, Trump’s approval ratings have never been better, with 53% of Americans saying they like the job he’s doing as president.
Mixed reviews: When you get down into the nitty gritty, support for Trump’s specific executive orders has more variance.
According to a new Marquette Law School poll, 63% of voters support the administration’s order mandating that the government only recognize two sexes—male and female—and 60% support expanding oil and gas production and deporting illegal immigrants.
But per the same poll, 65% oppose Trump’s pledge to "take back the Panama Canal,” and 71% oppose renaming the Gulf of Mexico.
A new Ipsos poll found 56% support freezing U.S.-funded foreign assistance and declassifying records on JFK, RFK and MLK Jr.'s assassinations.
But 62% oppose freezing federal funding for U.S. government grants and services, and 55% oppose barring transgender individuals from military service.
Bubba’s Two Cents
Over the last decade-plus, Democrats channeled their power into reshaping culture, speech norms, and policy (think DEI, gender politics, big spending). But the tide turned, and now, with a thin House majority, Republicans are seizing their moment, racing to remake government and society.
As CNN senior writer Zachary Wolf wrote, “Add together Trump’s many large policy goals — mass deportation, a much smaller bureaucracy, a why-bother attitude toward climate change — and he could leave behind a much different country than the one he took over from President Joe Biden.”
Would incremental change be more effective in the long run than a sweeping overhaul designed to remake government in the en vogue party’s vision? Is that even possible? The question is not if but when the pendulum will again swing back, but maybe that cycle of overreach-to-backlash is an essential feature of our politican system that keeps American politics in balance.
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