3 Data Points on Independents

A new analysis of independents from CNN data guru Harry Enten shows the winds might be blowing Donald Trump’s direction. (CNN)

  1. In 2020, Joe Biden won independents by 11 points, but Kamala Harris currently leads with them by just 2 points.

  2. Biden won independents in key battleground states like Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin by 5 points in 2020. Trump is up by 1 point in these states.

  3. Since 1952, capturing the independent vote has been crucial: 15 candidates who did so went on to win, while only 3 lost.